Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.258718 0.304489 0.353032 0.408061 0.468427 0.532364 0.604930
2025-02-09 0.186637 0.247010 0.315669 0.398354 0.494081 0.600353 0.726183
2025-02-16 0.142476 0.211526 0.295389 0.401914 0.530912 0.679576 0.861370
2025-02-23 0.106431 0.178533 0.272179 0.397375 0.555334 0.743436 0.979831
2025-03-02 0.074641 0.144220 0.241559 0.378799 0.559129 0.780679 1.066229
2025-03-09 0.057660 0.126940 0.230421 0.382899 0.589810 0.850178 1.192155
2025-03-16 0.041465 0.106718 0.211736 0.373985 0.601592 0.894951 1.287450
2025-03-23 0.034346 0.100044 0.211913 0.390711 0.647357 0.983530 1.438846
2025-03-30 0.025666 0.087859 0.201446 0.390410 0.668865 1.040262 1.550113
2025-04-06 0.019187 0.077924 0.192992 0.391828 0.691969 1.098834 1.664067
2025-04-13 0.015026 0.071707 0.189909 0.400837 0.725605 1.171659 1.797245
2025-04-20 0.012062 0.067334 0.189416 0.413530 0.764523 1.251965 1.941043
2025-04-27 0.009523 0.063201 0.189077 0.426791 0.805322 1.336641 2.093453
2025-05-04 0.006384 0.055181 0.179746 0.424128 0.821855 1.387853 2.201892
2025-05-11 0.004608 0.050677 0.176902 0.432136 0.854563 1.462019 2.342044
2025-05-18 0.002844 0.044264 0.168692 0.429853 0.870911 1.513046 2.451254
2025-05-25 0.001242 0.035343 0.152618 0.411679 0.861071 1.525941 2.508038
2025-06-01 0.000696 0.031947 0.149316 0.416819 0.888284 1.592372 2.638966
2025-06-08 0.000228 0.026492 0.139208 0.407855 0.891904 1.624114 2.721843
2025-06-15 0.000137 0.025918 0.142681 0.425825 0.940269 1.722187 2.898151
2025-06-22 0.000029 0.022651 0.137415 0.425665 0.958177 1.775246 3.011731
2025-06-29 0.000001 0.019976 0.133226 0.427257 0.978834 1.832459 3.131521
2025-07-06 NaN 0.018579 0.132897 0.436843 1.013201 1.910531 3.281410